Sutskever: more than one problem stands before AGI
- From:
- Ilya Sutskever
- Date:
- February 19, 2016 (Sent 10:28 AM)
- To:
- Elon Musk (cc: Greg Brockman, Sam Altman)
- Subject:
- Re: Followup thoughts
Several points:
- It is not the case that once we solve "concepts," we get AI. Other problems that will have to be solved include unsupervised learning, transfer learning, and lifetime learning. We're also doing pretty badly with language right now. It does not mean that these problems will not see significant progress in the coming years, but it is not the case that there is only one problem that stands between us and full human level AI.
- We can't build AI today because we lack key ideas (computers may be too slow, too, but we can't tell). Powerful ideas are produced by top people. Massive clusters help, and are very worth getting, but they play a less important role.
- We will be able to achieve a conventionally significant result in the next 6 to 9 months, simply because the people we already have are very good. Achieving a field-altering result will be harder, riskier, and take longer. But we have a not unreasonable plan for that as well.